Thursday, December 8, 2011

ECB will cut the interest rate?

Monexnews - European Central Bank (ECB) has repeatedly affirmed its commitment to assist the recovery area. Appropriate its role, the European monetary authorities can take on the role as a motor controller liuiditas stream banks.

The ECB contributions can be implemented by cuts key interest rate at today's meeting. Given the many euro zone economic indicators released negative in recent months. ECB expected to cut interest rate to 1.00%, marking the adjustment rate for the second time in two months.

"The conditions today are very supportive to the discourse of ECB quantitative easing," said Clemente de Lucia, economist at BNP Paribas. This is where the central banks role play, and should become the main agenda of Mario Draghi press conference the next few hours. There is absolutely no reason for the board of governors for not cutting interest rates today. Perhaps the only obstacle now is the inflation rate is consistently above the regional target. Annual inflation was at its highest level in three years, which is 3%, for three consecutive months until November. The level is still above the threshold that defines the central bank as an inflation level of 2% secure. But some economists and the ECB itself convinced that inflation could meet target next year due to economic slowdown and high unemployment.

Another agenda is no less important is a matter of policy the European bond purchases. It is worth awaited whether the central bank will purchase bonds instantly gave the signal is greater or even silent until the official fiscal reforms enacted. Although the action of the entire stock of bonds is required, the level of yield fairly conducive recent weeks.

The other agenda is a European bailout fund expansion program that circulation is said to be held by the ECB. But Draghi still have to coordinate with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) related to the launch mechanism and authority over the new stimulus funds.

Monday, September 19, 2011

Daily prediction for september 19, 2011

EUR JPY :
Long position
Buy Stop @ 105.43
First Target : 105.63
Second Target : 105.93

Short position
Sell Stop@ 104.98
First Target : 104.78
Second Target : 104.48

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AUD USD re-entry breakout level
Long position
Buy Stop @ 1.0309
First Target : 1.0329
Second Target : 1.0359

Short position
Sell Stop @ 1.0246
First Target : 1.0226
Second Target : 1.0196

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Monday, August 22, 2011

Daily prediction for August 22, 2011

EUR / JPY was break the upper level, but it is possible to make a break again.

Buy Stop : 110.47
1st Long TP : 110.67
2nd Long TP : 110.97

Sell Stop : 110.01
1st Short TP : 109.81
2nd Short TP : 109.51
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AUD /USD

Buy Stop : 1.0441
1st Long TP : 1.0461
2nd Long TP : 1.0491

Sell Stop : 1.0380
1st Short TP : 1.0360
2nd Short TP : 1.0330

Thursday, August 18, 2011

Daily prediction for August 18, 2011

EUR / JPY
Buy Stop: 110.55
1st Take Profit: 110.75
2nd Take Profit: 111.05


Sell Stop: 110.25
1st Take Profit: 110.05
2nd Take Profit: 109.75

Trend prediction DOWN
=================


AUD /USD

Buy Stop: 1.0556
1st Take Profit: 1.0576
2nd Take Profit: 1.0606


Sell Stop: 1.0502
1st Take Profit: 1.0482
2nd Take Profit: 1.0452

Trend prediction UP
=================

Tuesday, August 16, 2011

Daily Prediction for August 16, 2011

EUR/JPY:

Buy Stop: 111.01, TP1: 111.21, TP2: 111.51

Sell Stop: 110.72, TP11: 110.52, TP2: 110.22

Friday, June 17, 2011

Daily Prediction for June 17, 2011

GBPUSD
Today
not much news to be released, only the U.S. data PrelimUoM Consumer Sentiment who has a high impact on price movements.
Technically, this pair will likely rise to the level of 1.6238
Long position suggested

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EURUSD
Technically, it is likely to rise towards 1.4275 level.
Long position suggested

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AUDUSD
Technically, it is likely to rise towards 1.0640 level.
Long position suggested

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USDCAD
Technically, it is likely to fall towards 0.9755 level.
Short position suggested


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NZDUSD
Technically, it is likely to rise towards 0.8117 level.
Long position suggested

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Wednesday, June 15, 2011

Daily Prediction for June 15, 2011

GBPUSD is likely to fall towards 1.6288 level, but today's fundamental news release will affected to the movement of this pair today, especially Claimant Count Change data in the London session and US Core CPI in the US session.

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EURUSD is likely to fall towards 1.4342 level

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AUDUSD is likely to fall towards 1.0584 level

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USDCAD is likely to rise towards 0.9740 level

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NZDUSD is likely to fall towards 0.8130 level

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Tuesday, June 14, 2011

Daily Prediction for June 14, 2011

GBPUSD is likely to rise towards 1.6410, then maybe will fall towards 1.6281. Beware of fundamental news release today especially UK CPI, US Retail Sales and US PPI
Pivot 1.6326
Resistance 1.6437 - 1.6500 - 1.6611
Support 1.6263 - 1.6152 - 1.6089

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EURUSD is likely to rise towards 1.4517
Pivot 1.4385
Resistance 1.4452 - 1.4492 - 1.4561
Support 1.4341 - 1.4276 - 1.4234

=========================

Wednesday, June 1, 2011

Daily prediction for April 1, 2011

GBPUSD
Pivot = 1.6472
R1=1.6521, R2=1.6595, R3=1.6644
S1=1.6398, S2=1.6349, S3=1.6275
Stoch(100): neutral
Currency strengh: USD -, GBP +

GBPUSD will likely to fall toward 1.6350

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EURUSD
Pivot=1.4363
R1=1.4452, R2=1.4509, R3=1.4597
S1=1.4307, S2=1.4219, S3=1.4162
Stoch(100): buy signal/overbought area
Currency strengh: USD -, EUR +

EURUSD is likely to rise toward 1.4452, then maybe will fall toward 1.4320 area

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AUDUSD
Pivot=1.0690
R1=1.0738, R2=1.0804, R3=1.0852
S1=1.0624, S2=1.0576, S3=1.0510
Stoch(100): buy signal
Currency strengh:AUD+, USD-

AUDUSD is likely to fall toward 1.0630

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USDCAD
Pivot=0.9704
R1=0.9753, R2=0.9820, R3=1.9869
S1=0.9637, S2= 9588, S3=0.9521
Stoch(100): neutral
Currency strengh: USD -, CAD+

USDCAD is likely to fall toward 0.9643

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NZDUSD
Pivot=0.8224
R1=0.8283, R2=8325, R3=0.8325
Stoch(100): sell area

NZDUSD is likely to rise toward 0.8285

Monday, May 30, 2011

Daily prediction for May 30,2011

GBPUSD
Pivot = 1.6466
R1 = 1.6554, R2 = 1.6601, R3 = 1.6689
S1 = 6419, S2 = 1.6331, S3 = 1.6284
Stoch(100): neutral/overbought area

GBPUSD is likely to rise toward 1.6550 level

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EURUSD
Pivot = 1.4252
R1 = 1.4381, R2 = 1.4449, R3 = 1.4578
S1 = 1.4184, S2 = 1.4055, S3 = 1.3987
Stoch(100): neutral/overbought area

EURUSD is likely to rise toward 1.4380 level

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AUDUSD
Pivot = 1.0676
R1 = 1.0745, R2 = 1.0787, R3 = 1.0856
S1 = 1.0634, S2 = 1.0565, S3 = 1.0523
Stoch(100): neutral/overbought area

AUDUSD is likely to rise toward 1.0740 level

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USDCAD
Pivot = 0.9770
R1 = 0.9788, R2 = 0.9814, R3 = 0.9832
S1 = 0.9744, S2 = 0.9726, S3 = 0.9700
Stoch(100): buy signal/middle low area

USDCAD will be flat, if it rise then will go to 0.9806, while if fall will head to 0.9744
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NZDUSD
Pivot = 0.8155
R1 = 0.8240, R2 = 0.8284, R3 = 0.8368
S1 = 0.8112, S2 = 0.8028, R3 = 0.7984
Stoch(100): neutral/overbought area

NZDUSD is likely to rise to 0.8264

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USDJPY
Pivot = 81.00
R1 = 81.26, R2 = 81.71, R3 = 81.97
S1 = 80.55, S2 = 80.29, S3 = 79.84
Stoch(100): neutral/low area

USDJPY is likely to fall toward 80.50

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Friday, May 27, 2011

GBPUSD
Pivot: 1.6358
R1 =1.6449, R2 =1.6494, R3 =1.6585
S1 =1.6313, S2 =1.6222, S3 =1.6177
Major trend: Bullish

GBPUSD will likely still go up to 1.6449, then maybe going down to the 1.6350 level

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EURUSD
Pivot: 1.4136
R1 =1.4207, R2 = 1.4274, R3 =1.4345
S1 =1.4069, S2 =1.3998, S3 =1.3931
Major trend: Flat

EURUSD is likely to rise towards the 1.4240 level, and then may fall to as low as 1.4110

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AUDUSD
Pivot: 1.0600
R1 =1.0691, R2 =1.0738, R3 =1.0829
S1 =1.0553, S2 =1.0462, S3 =1.0415
Major trend: Bullish

AUDUSD is likely to rise towards 1.0715

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USDCAD
Pivot: 0.9782
R1 =0.9809, R2 =0.9842, R3 =0.9869
S1 =0.9749, S2 =0.9722, S3 =0.9689
Major trend: Bullish

USDCAD is likely to fall towards 0.9747

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Thursday, May 26, 2011

Daily Prediction for May 26, 2011

GBPUSD
Pivot 1.6232
R1 1.6332/ R2 1.6393/ R3 1.6493
S1 1.6171/ S2 1.6071/ S3 1.6010
Major trend daily: Bullish, Weekly: Bearish, Monthly: Neutral

GBPUSD still show the possibility to go up toward the 1.6346, then probably will fall to as low as 1.6220

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EURUSD
Pivot 1.4070
R1 1.4129/ R2 1.4174/ R3 1.4233
S1 1.4026/ S2 1.3966/ S3 1.3921
Major trend daily: Bullish, Weekly: Bearish, Monthly: Neutral

EURUSD may still be rising toward the 1.4195, then probably will fall to 1.4076

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AUDUSD
Pivot 1.0510
R1 1.0581/ R2 1.0631/ R3 1.0702
S1 1.0460/ S2 1.0389/ S3 1.0339
Major trend daily: Bearish, Weekly: Bearish, Monthly: Bullish

AUDUSD today will probably fall to as low as 1.0477

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Wednesday, May 25, 2011

Daily prediction for May 25, 2011

GBPUSD
Pivot : 1.6148
R1 1.6238, R2 1.6298, R3 1.6389
S1 1.6087, S2 1.5996, S3 1.5936
Major trend : Bearish

GBPUSD will likely go down towards the 1.6097 level, but if it fails to penetrate the pivot point, then it is likely to rise towards 1.6230


EURUSD
Pivot : 1.4076
R1 1.4152, R2 1.4206, R3 1.4282
S1 1.4022, S2 1.3946, S3 1.3892
Major trend : Bearish

EURUSD is likely to fall towards the 1.3972 level, then probably will go up until 1.4098